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Joined 10 months ago
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Cake day: March 22nd, 2025

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  • Article 50

    1. Any Member State may decide to withdraw from the Union in accordance with its own constitutional requirements.

    2. A Member State which decides to withdraw shall notify the European Council of its intention. In the light of the guidelines provided by the European Council, the Union shall negotiate and conclude an agreement with that State, setting out the arrangements for its withdrawal, taking account of the framework for its future relationship with the Union. That agreement shall be negotiated in accordance with Article 218(3) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union. It shall be concluded on behalf of the Union by the Council, acting by a qualified majority, after obtaining the consent of the European Parliament.

    3. The Treaties shall cease to apply to the State in question from the date of entry into force of the withdrawal agreement or, failing that, two years after the notification referred to in paragraph 2, unless the European Council, in agreement with the Member State concerned, unanimously decides to extend this period.

    4. For the purposes of paragraphs 2 and 3, the member of the European Council or of the Council representing the withdrawing Member State shall not participate in the discussions of the European Council or Council or in decisions concerning it.

    A qualified majority shall be defined in accordance with Article 238(3)(b) of the Treaty on the Functioning of the European Union.

    1. If a State which has withdrawn from the Union asks to rejoin, its request shall be subject to the procedure referred to in Article 49.

    There’s nothing about paying for the reinstatement of border controls. If I remember correctly EU wanted UK to pay whatever they agreed to pay into the budget before brexit and it was all part of the negotiations.





  • Brazil, Argentina, Paraguay and Uruguay.

    Couple of years ago this was put on hold because Brazil wouldn’t stop burning the Amazon. Last year Brazil approved so called “Devastation Bill” that rolled back many environmental protections but I guess EU is too weak now to further delay this trade deal.

    Meanwhile in Argentina Milei is celebrating signing this deal while praising Trump, who’s trying to undermine EU.

    Not sure if it’s a good deal for EU or a sign of desperation. EU used to use its deals to shape the world. Now they are celebrating a deal which will strengthen our opponents in Argentina while capitulating on environment in Brazil.






  • Europe also has nuclear weapons so it will not be invaded, even when US exists NATO. Some new alliance will be formed. Worst case scenario for Europe is that more countries will exit EU and turn into right wing dictatorships like Hungary. Most of the countries in EU are healthy democracies with strong, independent judiciaries so this will not happen that fast. Right now I would bet that it will be dismantled eventually but it will take another decade or two. Exact same thing can happen everywhere but even faster. Europe is still your best bet.



  • If my next door neighbour said in passing he was going to attack my house, then stated he had the right to attack me in my house you better believe that as soon as I see that neighbour coming anywhere near me then I’m attacking first.

    More appropriate analogy would be that you gave your neighbor a key to your home and now you’re saying that when he breaks into your home you will beat him up him but he can keep the key and can enter whenever he wants.

    “Breaks in” is the important part. Since he has a key your statement is an empty threat but let’s you feel in control.



  • The first sign will be that when Denmark pulls out of the treaties and tells US to leave they will just ignore them. This will show that Denmark doesn’t really control the territory. That’s why Denmark didn’t do it yet. As long as it’s just talk they can keep pretending they can somehow defend themselves.

    What US can do to prove they actually have taken the territory is to stage some confrontation, for example start mining there without permission. Will Denmark shoot the miners? Will they send police? Military? What if US military defends the miners? Clearly Denmark will not “shoot first and ask questions later” in this situation but US can show they have effectively taken over.

    In the end it really depends on what US want’s to achieve here. If they just want resources proving that they can access them at will would be enough,if they want to use if for military operation they just have to prove Denmark can’t kick them out, if they want to control their economy (which I doubt) they will have to kick out Danish administration and force citizens to pay taxes to IRS and if they want to humiliate EU they just have to change it on the maps and show that EU can’t do anything about it.