• notagoodboye@lemmy.today
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    5 months ago

    This is a whole paradigm shift, and it’s not new.

    So you have a billion dollar aircraft carrier. How many million dollar missiles can you shoot at it before it sinks? Generally, it’s not a thousand.

    Same deal all down the line. A tank is fantastically more expensive than an antitank rocket.

    Just the way the world works. You can iterate and improve a small munition way faster than a huge ship.

    • Valmond@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      Tanks are different, it is more or less normal they blow up from time to time, a destroyer not so much. Like an AWACS for example, should never get picked out of the sky.

      Great anyways that russia is losing both in ridiculously high numbers.

        • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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          5 months ago

          Well, yes and no. Fleet size matters.

          UK MoD estimated earlier this year that Russia had about 6 serviceable A-50 airframes; the US alone has 21 E-3s, while France operates 4, and NATO collectively operates another 18 - and that doesn’t factor in other newer and more advanced AWACS platforms.

          Russia lost over 10% of their operable AWACS fleet by losing one plane. Russia is HUGE. Their AEW assets were absurdly stretched before, and now they will be even moreso. Any losses they incur will degrade their overall strategic AEW capacity in a very real fashion.

    • bluGill@kbin.run
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      5 months ago

      That is the meme, but when I talk to military people they point out Russian incompetence. They do not believe NATO ships are that vulnerable. Ukraine is using a lot of tanks, but because they are using them according to good military doctrine they are not taking nearly as many losses. Note that Ukraine and Russia both got their tank instructions from the old Soviet playbook not a NATO book (though Ukraine as had NATO training as well), there is nothing about using a tank well Russia shouldn’t know, but they are failing to follow their own book on how to use tanks.

      • someguy3@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        They do not believe NATO ships are that vulnerable

        Oh they are, so a shit ton is being done for anti missile, anti submarine, now anti flying drone, should be anti jet ski drone, anti submarine drone, etc.

      • Jimmyeatsausage@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        Yeah, this definitely feels like a doctrine and training problem. I can’t even imagine a scenario where the US or NATO lost half of any platform like that. Pearl Harbor, maybe? I remember how huge a deal it was when we found out our body armor and APCs sucked in 2001, and that was nothing like losing every missile ship.

        • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          To be fair we knew they sucked. Which is why we were working to get them replaced for the iraq war on an emergency basis.

      • frezik@midwest.social
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        5 months ago

        On the tank side, some planned updates/replacements for the Abrams were very suddenly canned and went back to the drawing board. The DoD didn’t say why, but a good guess is that they saw how things were going for tanks vs drones in Ukraine, and decided that these new designs would be obsolete before they’re built.

        • khannie@lemmy.world
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          5 months ago

          You may bet your bollix that tank designers are earning really good overtime at the moment.

      • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        Also a lot of the late Soviet Union military technology came from Ukraine, plus their military were also trained in the same kind of school of thought as Russia and still know it.

        So it makes sense that, when push came to shove, the Ukranians would fast come up with asymetric war solutions against Russia, that Russia wouldn’t be as fast in effectivelly countering them and Ukraine would be quicker at developing new or adjusted solutions once Russia found a counter (or, more generally, that Ukraine would remain ahead of Russian in the cycle were each side develops a counter to the other side’s counters).

        Had Russia’s initial blietzkrieg attack worked, it would’ve been a different story, but at this stage it makes sense that Ukraine has the technological edge, not just in the weaponry it gets from the West but also in their own weapons development, especially now that it has much better AA to protect the installations far away from the frontlines working on weapons tech.

    • Neato@ttrpg.network
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      5 months ago

      It’s not that simple. If it was the American military wouldn’t be effective because manpads, javelins, and torpedos would have taken out all the aircraft, tanks and ships.

      The military is a fighting unit and protects itself very well. At least, it does it it’s working right. When you have a military being destroyed by a vault interior opponent, it’s because they are fucking to their military…or someone is trying to occupy Afghanistan.

    • SeaJ@lemm.ee
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      5 months ago

      So you have a billion dollar aircraft carrier. How many million dollar missiles can you shoot at it before it sinks?

      For Russia’s aircraft carrier? Zero. That thing was always catching for and had to be towed everywhere.

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      This shift happened in the 1930’s. Land based naval bombers prevented the Germans from operating surface ships anywhere near the English coast. Japanese carriers routinely ferried bombers to support naval landings. And of course the US built their entire Pacific fleet around carriers.

      A landmass isn’t anything more than a giant, unsinkable, carrier in naval strategy.

    • shalafi@lemmy.world
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      5 months ago

      This is a whole paradigm shift, and it’s not new.

      Got me confused. Are you saying these tactics are new or not? I vote for new, mostly, kinda, but both at once. Sorta.

      • Maalus@lemmy.world
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        5 months ago

        These tactics are new, but the story is the same it has been for centuries. Huge armies devastated by a new tactic, a new weapon, a new defense. Chariots, heavy armor, crossbows, guns, star fortresses, machine guns, aircraft, now drones.