• Anarch157a@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    According to the open-source intelligence (OSINT) site Molfar, Ukraine has sunk or damaged nearly 60 ships of the Russian Navy.

    How, for fuck sake, Russia managed to lose 60 ships to a country that has NO NAVY ?!?

    Holy! Shit!

    • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Because it is easier to deny your enemy terrain than it is to keep it.

      And Ukraine does have a navy. It is just made up out of very angry remote controlled low observable high speed boats that carry a ton of explosives and don’t have to come home because they want to hug your ship and make it sad.

    • notagoodboye@lemmy.today
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      2 months ago

      This is a whole paradigm shift, and it’s not new.

      So you have a billion dollar aircraft carrier. How many million dollar missiles can you shoot at it before it sinks? Generally, it’s not a thousand.

      Same deal all down the line. A tank is fantastically more expensive than an antitank rocket.

      Just the way the world works. You can iterate and improve a small munition way faster than a huge ship.

      • Valmond@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Tanks are different, it is more or less normal they blow up from time to time, a destroyer not so much. Like an AWACS for example, should never get picked out of the sky.

        Great anyways that russia is losing both in ridiculously high numbers.

          • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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            2 months ago

            Well, yes and no. Fleet size matters.

            UK MoD estimated earlier this year that Russia had about 6 serviceable A-50 airframes; the US alone has 21 E-3s, while France operates 4, and NATO collectively operates another 18 - and that doesn’t factor in other newer and more advanced AWACS platforms.

            Russia lost over 10% of their operable AWACS fleet by losing one plane. Russia is HUGE. Their AEW assets were absurdly stretched before, and now they will be even moreso. Any losses they incur will degrade their overall strategic AEW capacity in a very real fashion.

      • bluGill@kbin.run
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        2 months ago

        That is the meme, but when I talk to military people they point out Russian incompetence. They do not believe NATO ships are that vulnerable. Ukraine is using a lot of tanks, but because they are using them according to good military doctrine they are not taking nearly as many losses. Note that Ukraine and Russia both got their tank instructions from the old Soviet playbook not a NATO book (though Ukraine as had NATO training as well), there is nothing about using a tank well Russia shouldn’t know, but they are failing to follow their own book on how to use tanks.

        • someguy3@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          They do not believe NATO ships are that vulnerable

          Oh they are, so a shit ton is being done for anti missile, anti submarine, now anti flying drone, should be anti jet ski drone, anti submarine drone, etc.

        • frezik@midwest.social
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          2 months ago

          On the tank side, some planned updates/replacements for the Abrams were very suddenly canned and went back to the drawing board. The DoD didn’t say why, but a good guess is that they saw how things were going for tanks vs drones in Ukraine, and decided that these new designs would be obsolete before they’re built.

          • khannie@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            You may bet your bollix that tank designers are earning really good overtime at the moment.

        • Jimmyeatsausage@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          Yeah, this definitely feels like a doctrine and training problem. I can’t even imagine a scenario where the US or NATO lost half of any platform like that. Pearl Harbor, maybe? I remember how huge a deal it was when we found out our body armor and APCs sucked in 2001, and that was nothing like losing every missile ship.

          • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            To be fair we knew they sucked. Which is why we were working to get them replaced for the iraq war on an emergency basis.

        • Aceticon@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          Also a lot of the late Soviet Union military technology came from Ukraine, plus their military were also trained in the same kind of school of thought as Russia and still know it.

          So it makes sense that, when push came to shove, the Ukranians would fast come up with asymetric war solutions against Russia, that Russia wouldn’t be as fast in effectivelly countering them and Ukraine would be quicker at developing new or adjusted solutions once Russia found a counter (or, more generally, that Ukraine would remain ahead of Russian in the cycle were each side develops a counter to the other side’s counters).

          Had Russia’s initial blietzkrieg attack worked, it would’ve been a different story, but at this stage it makes sense that Ukraine has the technological edge, not just in the weaponry it gets from the West but also in their own weapons development, especially now that it has much better AA to protect the installations far away from the frontlines working on weapons tech.

      • Neato@ttrpg.network
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        2 months ago

        It’s not that simple. If it was the American military wouldn’t be effective because manpads, javelins, and torpedos would have taken out all the aircraft, tanks and ships.

        The military is a fighting unit and protects itself very well. At least, it does it it’s working right. When you have a military being destroyed by a vault interior opponent, it’s because they are fucking to their military…or someone is trying to occupy Afghanistan.

      • SeaJ@lemm.ee
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        2 months ago

        So you have a billion dollar aircraft carrier. How many million dollar missiles can you shoot at it before it sinks?

        For Russia’s aircraft carrier? Zero. That thing was always catching for and had to be towed everywhere.

      • shalafi@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        This is a whole paradigm shift, and it’s not new.

        Got me confused. Are you saying these tactics are new or not? I vote for new, mostly, kinda, but both at once. Sorta.

        • Maalus@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          These tactics are new, but the story is the same it has been for centuries. Huge armies devastated by a new tactic, a new weapon, a new defense. Chariots, heavy armor, crossbows, guns, star fortresses, machine guns, aircraft, now drones.

      • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        This shift happened in the 1930’s. Land based naval bombers prevented the Germans from operating surface ships anywhere near the English coast. Japanese carriers routinely ferried bombers to support naval landings. And of course the US built their entire Pacific fleet around carriers.

        A landmass isn’t anything more than a giant, unsinkable, carrier in naval strategy.

      • sunzu@kbin.run
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        2 months ago

        while true… in alpha male mil circle a navy is AIR CRAFT CARRIER, NUCLEAR SUBMARINES, DESTROYER, AMPHIBIOUS LANDING SHIP etc

        which is ironic considering Ukraine did take out some destroyers or corvettes or whatever without a “navy”

    • Maggoty@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      Drones and missiles. Air power long ago surpassed ship power and a landmass makes one hell of an aircraft carrier.

    • Queue@lemmy.blahaj.zone
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      2 months ago

      That is genuinely amazing, losing 60 ships to a country without an actually big navy. Invading Ukraine to have warm waters for your navy, and you still lose.

      This is Russia’s “don’t invade Russia in winter”. Don’t launch a naval assault on Ukraine, apparently.

    • OwlPaste@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      You really gotta count how many cheap boat Ukrainians lost trying to sink 60 ships. Ofc they (suicide boats) are much, much, much cheaper and cause no crew casualties being remotely controlled. So it is super cost effective, And most importantly safe, but if you count pure numbers i am sure Ukrainian losses of those boats are massively higher.

      But the fact that russians can still use their missles ships to launch missiles is a big issue. Even if there are fewer of those ships, its not 0 :(… Yet

    • wewbull@feddit.uk
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      2 months ago

      Marine drones. Basically remote control exploding speed boats, some with rockets on them. They basically attack like hyaenas bringing down a zebra.

      • aname@lemmy.one
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        2 months ago

        That question was not a question but more like a “Lol, world’s second greatest navy lost to a country with no navy, lmao”

  • MushuChupacabra@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    That’s impressive.

    I’m now wondering how fucking useless the Russian navy would be fighting a nation that also had a navy.

  • Optional@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    He [Putin] also said that the fleet is being replenished with new ships, equipped with modern weapons, and that domestic shipbuilders will hand over more than 40 vessels to the Defense Ministry this year.

    Sure, do that.

    • CaptDust@sh.itjust.works
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      2 months ago

      Is 40 a lot? That seems quite ambitious but I have no idea how long it takes to build one.

      Edit: Russia’s built ~16 of these Karakurt-class ships since 2018 lol. So no, it won’t be 40 missle boats.

    • ganksy@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      I’d be willing to take a wild guess and say that at least 30+ of those new vessels are small support boats.

      • Stovetop@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        We put Kalashnikov on Sergey’s rowboat, Ukraine cowers before invincible Russian engineering!

    • frezik@midwest.social
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      2 months ago

      No way they’re replacing the bigger ones, like the Moskva. That one was built in a yard that’s now in Ukraine, and Russia hasn’t gotten that part back. Even if they did, Ukraine hadn’t really maintained it.

      It was also launched in 1979, and they haven’t built anything that size since the USSR fell.

      They’d have to rebuild the infrastructure needed to build the ship. These losses are irreplaceable.

    • gravitas_deficiency@sh.itjust.works
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      2 months ago

      Yeah, except that per the Montreux Convention, because Turkey has recognized that Russia is “at war”, Russia is not allowed to transit any warships through the Bosporus Strait, so any new combat ship they make has to be made in the Black Sea.

  • Lost_My_Mind@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    I know they’re saying Ukraine sunk those ships…but the headline makes it sound like Putin is saying “Now where did I put that military ship? Was it in the baltic sea? Did I harbor it in the Atlantic? Oh who can keep track of these things???”

    • RandomStickman@kbin.run
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      2 months ago

      There’s this one time my brother was playing some Total War (I think?) And he told me he lost his army. I gave my condolences and he said “No, I lost lost it. I don’t remember where I placed them and now I can’t find them.”

  • sunzu@kbin.run
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    2 months ago

    How big is the black sea… can’t we just give them missiles to cover it?

  • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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    2 months ago

    Meanwhile US defense contractors are probably busy developing bolt on CIWS for their littoral combat ships.

    • Glowstick@lemmy.world
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      2 months ago

      “A close-in weapon system (CIWS) is a point-defense weapon system for detecting and destroying short-range incoming missiles and enemy aircraft which have penetrated the outer defenses, typically mounted on a naval ship. Nearly all classes of larger modern warships are equipped with some kind of CIWS device.”

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Close-in_weapon_system

      • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        Yes, add USVs to the treat list.

        The type of threats these things pose are a lot more similar to missiles than they are to a Rib filled with goons. Low observable and fast, close to shore means that a high level of automation might be needed. Aka… a ciws.

        And why I think there might be add ons, is the type of threat is new and existing systems might not suffice. Magura is armored a plane or missile is not.

        • Glowstick@lemmy.world
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          2 months ago

          Please try not using initialisms that a general audience won’t know. That’s why i had to look up the previous one and quoted the info so other people wouldn’t have to look it up also. USV doesn’t even show up in a googling

          EDIT

          I found it, USV means a drone boat

      • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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        2 months ago

        That the US and her defense contractors see this and are very busy developing solutions against this very potent threat against their own ships. Since the rest of the Wold als sees this… and that includes some people/groups/countries that might want to sink some American ships. If anything this shows how dangerous Iran could make the Persian gulf for American ships.

        Magura proves how vulnerable ships can be, especially against modern wolf packs.

        So I hypothesize that they will come up with some form of “after market” installable Close In Weapon System (aka… a bolt on CIWS) to deal with these kind of threats.

        • remotelove@lemmy.ca
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          2 months ago

          Most US Navy ships have had CIWS systems since the 70s and have had many upgrades to their tracking systems since then. The US Army adopted the LPWS (C-RAM) which is basically a portable CIWS for land use. (The Russian version of the CIWS is called a Kortik.)

          It wouldn’t surprise me if there are already CIWS-type systems for commercial ships operating in hazardous zones.

          I have had the pleasure of standing next to a few CIWS systems during live fire testing and it’s quite the experience.

          • RubberDuck@lemmy.world
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            2 months ago

            Yes, very much so. The reason I think there might be add ons is due to the nature of the threat.

            Very angry, low visible, high speed, armored, unmanned surface vehicles that hunt in packs.

            • The Rim116 might not be usable because by the time you see them you might not want to / can not use a missile anymore.
            • The gun based ciws (midas/goalkeeper/phalanx et al.) might not have enough penetration. They are built for engaging unarmored targets.

            We can make fun of the Russian expansion of their submarine fleet in de black sea all we want… but if these maguras where an easy threat to deal with they would. No reason to think any NATO surface combatant would do any better when suddenly confronted with a similar threat.